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As expected, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at its July 30 meeting.
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The Iowa-based manager anticipates the beginning of a new growth cycle as lending and deal volume regain momentum.
Mark Roberts, head of research at Dallas-based Crow Holdings, believes the Federal Reserve will cut rates two or three more times this year.
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The Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times in 2024, but borrowers continue to grapple with negative leverage.
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 100 basis points over the past few months, but the yield on the 10-year Treasury has barely budged.  
Photo of the US Federal Reserve logo. Source: Getty
The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep the target rate at 4.25-4.5% could keep a lid on commercial real estate prices.
Proposals to cut taxes and reduce regulations could be a near-term positive for commercial real estate, but many of the inaugurated president’s policies are expected to be inflationary. 
Devastating Los Angeles wildfires this month have put the conversation around the cost and availability of insurance for commercial real estate into much greater focus.
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The 10-year Treasury last week hit its highest level since April, rising to 4.7 percent on January 8.
It is likely to be sector- and market-specific.

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